Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to aimclub, moving from -227 to -526 in Insiders Esport @ aimclub (Esports Esports): a 12.4 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 4 of 5 tracked books. Fire Flux Esports flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in ex-6666 @ Fire Flux Esports.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 19, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 20, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insiders Esport @ aimclub (Esports Esports) | aimclub | -227 → -526 | +12.4 pts | 4 of 5 |
| TheBot$ @ Team Synapse (Esports Esports) | Team Synapse | -138 → -167 | +6.7 pts | 4 of 5 |
| PARIVISION @ fnatic (Esports Esports) | PARIVISION | -154 → -208 | +6.0 pts | 4 of 5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints (NFL) | Pittsburgh Steelers | -149 → -185 | +6.0 pts | 25 of 25 |
| KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade @ KK Partizan Belgrade (Euroleague) | KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade | +145 → +113 | +5.9 pts | 12 of 12 |
| UNiTY esports @ 9INE (Esports Esports) | 9INE | -120 → -154 | +5.8 pts | 8 of 8 |
| ex-6666 @ Fire Flux Esports (Esports Esports) | Fire Flux Esports | +105 → -108 | +5.3 pts | 8 of 9 |
| Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers (NBA) | Golden State Warriors | +230 → +183 | +5.2 pts | 14 of 17 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 25 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors @ Los Angeles Lakers (NBA) | Total | 231 → 234.5 | 9 |
| Sacramento State Hornets @ Ball State Cardinals (NCAAF) | Spread (Ball State Cardinals) | -12 → -14.5 | 15 |
| San Diego State Aztecs @ Colorado State Rams (NCAAF) | Total | 61 → 63.5 | 18 |
| Sacramento State Hornets @ Ball State Cardinals (NCAAF) | Spread (Sacramento State Hornets) | 12 → 14.5 | 15 |
| Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets (NBA) | Spread (Charlotte Hornets) | -1 → 1.5 | 7 |
| Charlotte Hornets @ Brooklyn Nets (NBA) | Spread (Brooklyn Nets) | 1 → -1.5 | 7 |
| Rice Owls @ Florida Atlantic Owls (NCAAF) | Spread (Rice Owls) | 9.5 → 7.5 | 16 |
| Rice Owls @ Florida Atlantic Owls (NCAAF) | Spread (Florida Atlantic Owls) | -9.5 → -7.5 | 16 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on aimclub, at 7:26am et. Next were Bet365, Bovada, Betvictor. The last of the 4 qualifying books to cross was Betvictor at 9:10am et, 1.7 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.