Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Daukaus, Kyle, moving from -194 to -526 in Daukaus, Kyle @ Barriault, Marc Andre (MMA): a 19.0 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 3 of 5 tracked books. Mahjoub, Javad flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Faglier, Joel @ Mahjoub, Javad.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 17, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 18, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daukaus, Kyle @ Barriault, Marc Andre (MMA) | Daukaus, Kyle | -194 → -526 | +19.0 pts | 3 of 5 |
| Faglier, Joel @ Mahjoub, Javad (MMA) | Mahjoub, Javad | +116 → -112 | +16.0 pts | 3 of 6 |
| Inner Circle x Insanity @ CyberHero (Esports Esports) | Inner Circle x Insanity | +280 → +190 | +8.1 pts | 6 of 6 |
| Saint Louis City SC @ Minnesota United FC (MLS) | Minnesota United FC | +177 → +132 | +6.6 pts | 24 of 25 |
| Alcorn State Braves @ Prairie View A&M Panthers (NCAAF) | Prairie View A&M Panthers | -222 → -299 | +6.2 pts | 10 of 12 |
| Phantom @ ENCE (Esports Esports) | Phantom | -286 → -393 | +5.9 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Toronto FC @ New York Red Bulls (MLS) | New York Red Bulls | -120 → -150 | +5.3 pts | 21 of 22 |
| Team Falcons @ Aurora Gaming (Esports Esports) | Aurora Gaming | +174 → +136 | +5.0 pts | 7 of 8 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 25 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| McNeese State Cowboys @ Northwestern State Demons (NCAAF) | Total | 56.5 → 60.5 | 9 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders @ Harvard Crimson (NCAAF) | Total | 49.5 → 45.5 | 9 |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers @ Clemson Tigers (NCAAF) | Total | 57.5 → 53.5 | 15 |
| Bryant Bulldogs @ Maine Black Bears (NCAAF) | Spread (Bryant Bulldogs) | -1 → 2.5 | 13 |
| Alabama State Hornets @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (NCAAF) | Total | 57.5 → 54.5 | 10 |
| Marist Red Foxes @ Drake Bulldogs (NCAAF) | Total | 50.5 → 53.5 | 11 |
| Georgetown Hoyas @ Colgate Raiders (NCAAF) | Spread (Colgate Raiders) | -18.5 → -21.5 | 10 |
| Georgetown Hoyas @ Colgate Raiders (NCAAF) | Spread (Georgetown Hoyas) | 18.5 → 21.5 | 10 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Bovada was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Daukaus, Kyle, at 9:09pm et. Next were Novig, Polymarket. The last of the 3 qualifying books to cross was Polymarket at 9:09pm et, 0.0 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.