Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of October 16, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to HAVU, moving from +120 to -833 in HAVU @ Voca (Esports Esports): a 45.5 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 5 of 5 tracked books. HAVU flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in HAVU @ Voca.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 16, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 17, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
HAVU @ Voca (Esports Esports)HAVU+120 → -833+45.5 pts5 of 5
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls (NBA)Chicago Bulls+100 → -235+19.0 pts19 of 19
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic (NBA)Orlando Magic-141 → -286+14.6 pts19 of 19
Atlas FC @ Club Necaxa (Liga MX)Atlas FC+159 → +100+11.4 pts19 of 19
your end @ Joga de terno (Esports Esports)Joga de terno-167 → -185+10.0 pts3 of 5
Charlotte Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (NBA)Memphis Grizzlies+105 → -141+9.1 pts20 of 20
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers (NBA)Philadelphia 76ers-250 → -426+9.0 pts20 of 20
Phantom @ ENCE (Esports Esports)Phantom-191 → -294+8.6 pts7 of 8

Implied probability points, median across up to 20 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls (NBA)Spread (Chicago Bulls)1.5 → -6.510
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls (NBA)Spread (Minnesota Timberwolves)-1.5 → 6.510
Idaho Vandals @ Montana Grizzlies (NCAAF)Total57.5 → 62.55
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic (NBA)Spread (Miami Heat)2.5 → 7.512
Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic (NBA)Spread (Orlando Magic)-2.5 → -7.512
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (NCAAF)Total57.5 → 53.57
Towson Tigers @ Campbell Fighting Camels (NCAAF)Total62.5 → 58.59
Charlotte Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (NBA)Spread (Charlotte Hornets)-1.5 → 2.511

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

HAVU @ Voca: Kalshi led

Kalshi was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on HAVU, at 7:09am et. Next were Polymarket, Betsson, Betway. The last of the 5 qualifying books to cross was Coolbet at 7:29am et, 0.3 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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