Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Team Lynx, moving from -333 to -909 in Team Lynx @ Mena Warriors (Esports Esports): a 12.5 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 8 of 9 tracked books. ARGOS flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in aimclub @ ARGOS.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 11, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 12, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Lynx @ Mena Warriors (Esports Esports) | Team Lynx | -333 → -909 | +12.5 pts | 8 of 9 |
| aimclub @ ARGOS (Esports Esports) | ARGOS | +107 → -149 | +11.8 pts | 5 of 5 |
| Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons (NFL) | Chicago Bears | -125 → -175 | +8.0 pts | 10 of 13 |
| UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons (NCAAF) | Air Force Falcons | +121 → -113 | +8.0 pts | 14 of 14 |
| Olympique Lyon @ Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1) | Paris Saint-Germain | -198 → -289 | +8.0 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam @ PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) | PSV Eindhoven | +105 → -120 | +5.5 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Getafe CF @ Athletic Bilbao (La Liga) | Athletic Bilbao | -144 → -171 | +4.8 pts | 10 of 12 |
| Espanyol Barcelona @ Racing Santander (La Liga) | Racing Santander | +170 → +138 | +4.6 pts | 7 of 9 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 14 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles (NCAAF) | Total | 57.5 → 61.5 | 12 |
| Georgia Southern Eagles @ Old Dominion Monarchs (NCAAF) | Total | 50.5 → 47 | 18 |
| UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons (NCAAF) | Spread (UNLV Rebels) | -2.5 → 1 | 16 |
| Georgia State Panthers @ James Madison Dukes (NCAAF) | Total | 54.5 → 58 | 17 |
| UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons (NCAAF) | Spread (Air Force Falcons) | 2.5 → -1 | 16 |
| San Jose State Spartans @ UTEP Miners (NCAAF) | Total | 52 → 48.5 | 14 |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Houston Cougars (NCAAF) | Total | 58.5 → 61.5 | 15 |
| Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (NFL) | Spread (Dallas Cowboys) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 14 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Team Lynx, at 8:23pm et. Next were Kalshi, Coolbet, Pinnacle. The last of the 8 qualifying books to cross was Bet365 at 10:47pm et, 2.4 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.