Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to BNK FEARX, moving from -262 to -951 in BNK FEARX @ Team Vitality (Esports Esports): a 18.0 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 8 of 10 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 3, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 4, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNK FEARX @ Team Vitality (Esports Esports) | BNK FEARX | -262 → -951 | +18.0 pts | 8 of 10 |
| Ivory @ InterActive Philippines (Esports Esports) | InterActive Philippines | -285 → -769 | +13.8 pts | 7 of 7 |
| Procyon Gaming @ Galorys (Esports Esports) | Galorys | -211 → -327 | +8.8 pts | 8 of 10 |
| fnatic @ Astralis (Esports Esports) | Astralis | -204 → -323 | +8.1 pts | 8 of 10 |
| Dayton Flyers @ Drake Bulldogs (NCAAF) | Drake Bulldogs | +163 → +123 | +7.4 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Douyu Gaming @ Kuaishou Gaming (Esports Esports) | Kuaishou Gaming | -631 → -1419 | +7.4 pts | 6 of 6 |
| Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors (NBA) | Toronto Raptors | -105 → -137 | +6.6 pts | 20 of 20 |
| West Florida Argonauts @ Abilene Christian Wildcats (NCAAF) | Abilene Christian Wildcats | -165 → -215 | +6.6 pts | 12 of 12 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 20 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Thomas (MN) Tommies @ Presbyterian Blue Hose (NCAAF) | Total | 55 → 60 | 6 |
| Richmond Spiders @ Lafayette Leopards (NCAAF) | Total | 42.5 → 47.5 | 15 |
| Penn Quakers @ Dartmouth Big Green (NCAAF) | Total | 40.5 → 45 | 6 |
| Northern Colorado Bears @ Montana Grizzlies (NCAAF) | Spread (Montana Grizzlies) | -26 → -21.5 | 14 |
| Howard Bison @ Hampton Pirates (NCAAF) | Total | 49.5 → 45.5 | 17 |
| Holy Cross Crusaders @ William & Mary Tribe (NCAAF) | Total | 50.5 → 54.5 | 13 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs @ South Carolina State Bulldogs (NCAAF) | Spread (South Carolina State Bulldogs) | -20.5 → -16.5 | 8 |
| The Citadel Bulldogs @ South Carolina State Bulldogs (NCAAF) | Spread (The Citadel Bulldogs) | 20.5 → 16.5 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Dafabet was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on BNK FEARX, at 6:46am et. Next were Kalshi, Betsson, Betway. The last of the 8 qualifying books to cross was Bet365 at 6:57am et, 0.2 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.