Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to SINQU, moving from -139 to -286 in SINQU @ Flame Hard (Esports Esports): a 15.9 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 7 of 7 tracked books. CYBERSHOKE Esports flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in CYBERSHOKE Esports @ Nuclear TigeRES.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 1, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 2, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SINQU @ Flame Hard (Esports Esports) | SINQU | -139 → -286 | +15.9 pts | 7 of 7 |
| maybe @ Spirit Academy (Esports Esports) | maybe | +220 → +152 | +7.8 pts | 3 of 5 |
| CYBERSHOKE Esports @ Nuclear TigeRES (Esports Esports) | CYBERSHOKE Esports | +105 → -132 | +7.7 pts | 9 of 9 |
| Falcons Force @ ABT Esports (Esports Esports) | Falcons Force | -200 → -286 | +7.4 pts | 5 of 5 |
| Ivory @ Cloud Dawning (Esports Esports) | Ivory | -164 → -213 | +7.3 pts | 3 of 5 |
| Team Liquid @ GamerLegion (Esports Esports) | GamerLegion | +300 → +238 | +5.8 pts | 7 of 10 |
| Real Madrid @ Hapoel Tel-Aviv (Euroleague) | Real Madrid | -147 → -182 | +5.7 pts | 17 of 17 |
| North Texas Mean Green @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane (NCAAF) | North Texas Mean Green | -117 → -145 | +5.7 pts | 21 of 22 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 22 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits @ Illinois State Redbirds (NCAAF) | Spread (South Dakota State Jackrabbits) | -5.5 → -1.5 | 5 |
| South Dakota State Jackrabbits @ Illinois State Redbirds (NCAAF) | Spread (Illinois State Redbirds) | 5.5 → 1.5 | 5 |
| Maccabi Tel-Aviv @ Panathinaikos BC (Euroleague) | Total | 167.5 → 171.5 | 5 |
| FC Barcelona @ Besiktas JK (Euroleague) | Total | 169 → 172.5 | 6 |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Spread (Philadelphia Phillies) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 19 |
| Olimpia Milano @ Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (Euroleague) | Spread (Olimpia Milano) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 5 |
| North Alabama Lions @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels (NCAAF) | Spread (Eastern Kentucky Colonels) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 5 |
| North Alabama Lions @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels (NCAAF) | Spread (North Alabama Lions) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 5 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Kalshi was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on SINQU, at 4:45am et. Next were Betsson, Betway, Coolbet. The last of the 7 qualifying books to cross was Pinnacle at 1:48pm et, 9.1 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.