Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Marsborne, moving from -200 to -333 in Marsborne @ LAG Gaming (Esports Esports): a 10.2 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 9 of 10 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 29, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 30, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsborne @ LAG Gaming (Esports Esports) | Marsborne | -200 → -333 | +10.2 pts | 9 of 10 |
| 1win @ Team Spirit (Esports Esports) | 1win | +230 → +164 | +8.7 pts | 8 of 9 |
| Grêmio Esports @ Rush (Esports Esports) | Grêmio Esports | -159 → -244 | +8.4 pts | 7 of 8 |
| maybe @ BIG Academy (Esports Esports) | BIG Academy | -303 → -385 | +6.8 pts | 3 of 5 |
| Krytiepacani @ Omega (Esports Esports) | Omega | +370 → +280 | +5.3 pts | 5 of 7 |
| Nexus @ ex-RUSTEC (Esports Esports) | ex-RUSTEC | -202 → -257 | +5.0 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Luminosity @ B8 (Esports Esports) | Luminosity | +140 → +117 | +4.3 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Turma do Pagode @ Procyon Gaming (Esports Esports) | Turma do Pagode | -238 → -312 | +4.3 pts | 9 of 11 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 11 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack (NCAAF) | Spread (NC State Wolfpack) | 5.5 → 3.5 | 18 |
| Louisville Cardinals @ NC State Wolfpack (NCAAF) | Spread (Louisville Cardinals) | -5.5 → -3.5 | 18 |
| Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) | Spread (Montreal Canadiens) | -1.5 → 0.25 | 9 |
| Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) | Spread (Toronto Maple Leafs) | 1.5 → -0.25 | 9 |
| Marshall Herd @ James Madison Dukes (NCAAF) | Total | 55 → 56.25 | 10 |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles @ UMASS Minutemen (NCAAF) | Spread (UMASS Minutemen) | -5.5 → -6.5 | 14 |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles @ UMASS Minutemen (NCAAF) | Spread (Eastern Michigan Eagles) | 5.5 → 6.5 | 12 |
| Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles (NFL) | Total | 44.5 → 43.5 | 18 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Marsborne, at 12:06pm et. Next were Betway, Betsson, Coolbet. The last of the 9 qualifying books to cross was Bet365 at 8:53pm et, 8.8 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.