Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of September 28, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Damajuana, moving from +118 to -143 in Damajuana @ Semente do Mal (Esports Esports): a 12.8 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 4 of 5 tracked books. Damajuana flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Damajuana @ Semente do Mal.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 28, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 29, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Damajuana @ Semente do Mal (Esports Esports)Damajuana+118 → -143+12.8 pts4 of 5
Noir Verse @ Leo Team (Esports Esports)Noir Verse+105 → -170+7.0 pts5 of 5
Xtreme Gaming @ LGD Gaming (Esports Esports)LGD Gaming-174 → -228+6.6 pts11 of 12
InterActive Philippines @ Yangon Galacticos (Esports Esports)InterActive Philippines+150 → +130+6.5 pts7 of 9
Army Black Knights @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (NCAAF)Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+132 → +110+4.8 pts17 of 17
METANOIA WOLVES @ BORRACHEIROS (Esports Esports)BORRACHEIROS-200 → -250+4.8 pts5 of 5
FC Barcelona @ Dubai Basketball (Euroleague)Dubai Basketball-286 → -345+4.2 pts17 of 19
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Chicago Bears-156 → -190+4.1 pts8 of 9

Implied probability points, median across up to 19 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL)Spread (Montreal Canadiens)1.5 → -1.58
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ New Mexico State Aggies (NCAAF)Total53.5 → 56.519
Montreal Canadiens @ Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL)Spread (Toronto Maple Leafs)-1.5 → 1.510
Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami Ohio RedHawks (NCAAF)Total45.5 → 42.7514
Old Dominion Monarchs @ Georgia State Panthers (NCAAF)Spread (Old Dominion Monarchs)-1 → 1.514
Old Dominion Monarchs @ Georgia State Panthers (NCAAF)Spread (Georgia State Panthers)1 → -1.514
BC Olympiakos Piraeus @ BC Zalgiris Kaunas (Euroleague)Total170.5 → 172.56
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants (NFL)Spread (Arizona Cardinals)1 → -114

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Damajuana @ Semente do Mal: Betway led

Betway was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Damajuana, at 1:52pm et. Next were Polymarket, Dafabet, 1xBet. The last of the 4 qualifying books to cross was 1xBet at 2:18pm et, 0.4 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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