Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Green Bay Packers, moving from -116 to -167 in Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL): a 10.2 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 9 of 14 tracked books. Kansas City Royals flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 27, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 28, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) | Green Bay Packers | -116 → -167 | +10.2 pts | 9 of 14 |
| megoshort @ Spirit Academy (Esports Esports) | megoshort | +225 → +140 | +9.5 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Xipto Esports @ Yangon Galacticos (Esports Esports) | Xipto Esports | -400 → -955 | +8.1 pts | 10 of 10 |
| Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Kansas City Royals | +120 → -110 | +6.9 pts | 27 of 27 |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) | Philadelphia Phillies | -154 → -204 | +6.6 pts | 29 of 29 |
| regain @ LAG Gaming (Esports Esports) | LAG Gaming | -312 → -450 | +6.3 pts | 6 of 7 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers (MLB) | Detroit Tigers | +108 → -118 | +5.8 pts | 28 of 29 |
| Toledo Rockets @ Ball State Cardinals (NCAAF) | Toledo Rockets | -714 → -1429 | +5.7 pts | 7 of 11 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 29 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) | Total | 46 → 39.5 | 14 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) | Spread (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | -1.5 → 3.5 | 15 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) | Spread (Green Bay Packers) | 1.5 → -3.5 | 15 |
| California Golden Bears @ UNLV Rebels (NCAAF) | Spread (UNLV Rebels) | 1.5 → -2.5 | 14 |
| California Golden Bears @ UNLV Rebels (NCAAF) | Spread (California Golden Bears) | -1.5 → 2.5 | 13 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers @ Iowa State Cyclones (NCAAF) | Spread (West Virginia Mountaineers) | -1.25 → 2.5 | 18 |
| West Virginia Mountaineers @ Iowa State Cyclones (NCAAF) | Spread (Iowa State Cyclones) | 1.25 → -2.5 | 18 |
| Marshall Herd @ James Madison Dukes (NCAAF) | Spread (Marshall Herd) | 14.5 → 18 | 16 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Green Bay Packers, at 7:17pm et. Next were DraftKings, Hard Rock Bet, Betano Br. The last of the 9 qualifying books to cross was Bet365 at 10:14pm et, 2.9 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.