Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to regain, moving from +300 to +213 in Marsborne @ regain (Esports Esports): a 8.3 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 8 of 10 tracked books. ILLYRIANS flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in ILLYRIANS @ ex-Zero Tenacity.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 25, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 26, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsborne @ regain (Esports Esports) | regain | +300 → +213 | +8.3 pts | 8 of 10 |
| ILLYRIANS @ ex-Zero Tenacity (Esports Esports) | ILLYRIANS | +125 → -104 | +7.9 pts | 6 of 7 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB) | Baltimore Orioles | +118 → -112 | +7.5 pts | 27 of 28 |
| 9INE @ Sashi Esport (Esports Esports) | Sashi Esport | -110 → -139 | +7.4 pts | 8 of 11 |
| NRG @ Liquid (Esports Esports) | Liquid | -122 → -156 | +5.8 pts | 7 of 8 |
| New York Mets @ Washington Nationals (MLB) | Washington Nationals | +113 → -111 | +5.7 pts | 28 of 28 |
| Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers (NFL) | Denver Broncos | +169 → +130 | +5.5 pts | 14 of 14 |
| Sultan Zaurbek @ Jackson Jon England (Boxing) | Jackson Jon England | +480 → +376 | +4.8 pts | 5 of 9 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 28 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB) | Total | 6.5 → 11.5 | 21 |
| Alabama A&M Bulldogs @ Florida A&M Rattlers (NCAAF) | Spread (Florida A&M Rattlers) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers (MLB) | Spread (Pittsburgh Pirates) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 26 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB) | Spread (New York Yankees) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 23 |
| Alabama A&M Bulldogs @ Florida A&M Rattlers (NCAAF) | Spread (Alabama A&M Bulldogs) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers (MLB) | Spread (Detroit Tigers) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 26 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB) | Spread (Baltimore Orioles) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 23 |
| Harvard Crimson @ Brown Bears (NCAAF) | Total | 45.5 → 42.5 | 9 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Kalshi was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on regain, at 3:57pm et. Next were Polymarket, Superbet, 1xBet. The last of the 8 qualifying books to cross was Coolbet at 6:04pm et, 2.1 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.