Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of September 25, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to regain, moving from +300 to +213 in Marsborne @ regain (Esports Esports): a 8.3 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 8 of 10 tracked books. ILLYRIANS flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in ILLYRIANS @ ex-Zero Tenacity.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 25, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 26, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Marsborne @ regain (Esports Esports)regain+300 → +213+8.3 pts8 of 10
ILLYRIANS @ ex-Zero Tenacity (Esports Esports)ILLYRIANS+125 → -104+7.9 pts6 of 7
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB)Baltimore Orioles+118 → -112+7.5 pts27 of 28
9INE @ Sashi Esport (Esports Esports)Sashi Esport-110 → -139+7.4 pts8 of 11
NRG @ Liquid (Esports Esports)Liquid-122 → -156+5.8 pts7 of 8
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals (MLB)Washington Nationals+113 → -111+5.7 pts28 of 28
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers (NFL)Denver Broncos+169 → +130+5.5 pts14 of 14
Sultan Zaurbek @ Jackson Jon England (Boxing)Jackson Jon England+480 → +376+4.8 pts5 of 9

Implied probability points, median across up to 28 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB)Total6.5 → 11.521
Alabama A&M Bulldogs @ Florida A&M Rattlers (NCAAF)Spread (Florida A&M Rattlers)-1.5 → 1.56
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers (MLB)Spread (Pittsburgh Pirates)-1.5 → 1.526
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB)Spread (New York Yankees)-1.5 → 1.523
Alabama A&M Bulldogs @ Florida A&M Rattlers (NCAAF)Spread (Alabama A&M Bulldogs)1.5 → -1.56
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers (MLB)Spread (Detroit Tigers)1.5 → -1.526
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees (MLB)Spread (Baltimore Orioles)1.5 → -1.523
Harvard Crimson @ Brown Bears (NCAAF)Total45.5 → 42.59

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Marsborne @ regain: Kalshi led

Kalshi was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on regain, at 3:57pm et. Next were Polymarket, Superbet, 1xBet. The last of the 8 qualifying books to cross was Coolbet at 6:04pm et, 2.1 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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