Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of September 22, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Turma do Pagode, moving from +197 to +124 in Turma do Pagode @ paiN (Esports Esports): a 9.7 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 11 of 11 tracked books. GNK Dinamo Zagreb flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in RSC Anderlecht @ GNK Dinamo Zagreb.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 22, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 23, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Turma do Pagode @ paiN (Esports Esports)Turma do Pagode+197 → +124+9.7 pts11 of 11
Yawara Esports @ Low Cortisol (Esports Esports)Yawara Esports-159 → -256+8.8 pts4 of 5
Minnesota Lynx @ Indiana Fever (WNBA)Indiana Fever-108 → -154+8.6 pts27 of 27
The Huns Esports @ TEAM XDM (Esports Esports)TEAM XDM+330 → +188+7.6 pts4 of 6
RSC Anderlecht @ GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Europa League)GNK Dinamo Zagreb+110 → -111+5.2 pts8 of 8
ALKA GAMING @ Procyon Gaming (Esports Esports)Procyon Gaming+143 → +110+5.1 pts8 of 8
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Philadelphia Eagles-182 → -222+4.9 pts20 of 21
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty (WNBA)New York Liberty-104 → -128+4.7 pts15 of 20

Implied probability points, median across up to 27 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Minnesota Lynx @ Indiana Fever (WNBA)Spread (Minnesota Lynx)-1.5 → 3.2510
Minnesota Lynx @ Indiana Fever (WNBA)Spread (Indiana Fever)1.5 → -310
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty (WNBA)Spread (New York Liberty)1.5 → -1.758
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty (WNBA)Spread (Atlanta Dream)-1.5 → 1.758
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB)Spread (Pittsburgh Pirates)1.5 → -1.59
Anadolu Efes SK @ FC Barcelona (Euroleague)Spread (Anadolu Efes SK)4.5 → 2.56
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Total43.5 → 41.510
Anadolu Efes SK @ FC Barcelona (Euroleague)Spread (FC Barcelona)-4.5 → -2.56

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Turma do Pagode @ paiN: Polymarket led

Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Turma do Pagode, at 9:30pm et. Next were Pinnacle, Kalshi, Superbet. The last of the 11 qualifying books to cross was Bovada at 2:47am et, 5.3 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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