Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of September 20, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Philadelphia Eagles, moving from -1 to -200 in Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL): a 16.2 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 15 of 16 tracked books. Minnesota Vikings flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 20, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 21, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Philadelphia Eagles-1 → -200+16.2 pts15 of 16
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders (NFL)Seattle Seahawks-135 → -274+15.4 pts14 of 16
SPARTA @ INOX Division (Esports Esports)INOX Division-125 → -200+11.5 pts7 of 7
struggletony @ STATE (Esports Esports)STATE-147 → -250+11.2 pts3 of 5
EAC Extra @ STATE (Esports Esports)STATE-227 → -370+9.1 pts4 of 5
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL)Minnesota Vikings+101 → -137+8.1 pts15 of 16
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills (NFL)Buffalo Bills-233 → -345+8.1 pts14 of 17
San Diego State Aztecs @ Toledo Rockets (NCAAF)Toledo Rockets+105 → -135+7.7 pts5 of 7

Implied probability points, median across up to 17 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Spread (Chicago Bears)-1.5 → 3.514
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Spread (Philadelphia Eagles)1.5 → -3.514
Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (NCAAF)Spread (Liberty Flames)1.5 → -2.510
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders (NFL)Spread (Washington Commanders)2.5 → 6.515
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (NFL)Total47.5 → 43.515
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders (NFL)Spread (Seattle Seahawks)-2.5 → -6.515
Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (NCAAF)Spread (Coastal Carolina Chanticleers)-1.5 → 2.510
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL)Spread (Minnesota Vikings)1.5 → -2.514

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears: Kalshi led

Kalshi was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Philadelphia Eagles, at 3:36pm et. Next were Polymarket, Novig, Dafabet. The last of the 15 qualifying books to cross was Caesars (WH) at 12:56am et, 9.3 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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