Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of September 10, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Back to Back, moving from +380 to +170 in Galorys @ Back to Back (Esports Esports): a 17.6 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 8 of 9 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 10, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 11, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Galorys @ Back to Back (Esports Esports)Back to Back+380 → +170+17.6 pts8 of 9
Back to Back @ Fluxo W7M (Esports Esports)Back to Back+220 → +127+14.2 pts6 of 7
Turma do Pagode @ ShindeN (Esports Esports)ShindeN-172 → -236+6.4 pts8 of 10
Fire Flux Esports @ Inner Circle Academy (Esports Esports)Fire Flux Esports+150 → +113+6.2 pts7 of 7
FarmVille @ SportsBetExpert (Esports Esports)SportsBetExpert-556 → -1000+5.7 pts4 of 5
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers (NFL)Pittsburgh Steelers-182 → -233+5.4 pts24 of 25
Oscar Collazo @ Ricardo Rafael Sandoval (Boxing)Ricardo Rafael Sandoval-125 → -155+5.2 pts3 of 5
Misa Esports @ ReThink (Esports Esports)ReThink+138 → +117+5.2 pts5 of 8

Implied probability points, median across up to 25 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Florida A&M Rattlers @ Miami Hurricanes (NCAAF)Total62.5 → 66.57
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves (MLB)Spread (Tampa Bay Rays)-1.5 → 1.55
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves (MLB)Spread (Atlanta Braves)1.5 → -1.55
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners (MLB)Spread (Seattle Mariners)-1.5 → 1.256
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners (MLB)Spread (Texas Rangers)1.5 → -1.256
Richmond Spiders @ NC State Wolfpack (NCAAF)Spread (Richmond Spiders)30.5 → 32.59
Florida A&M Rattlers @ Miami Hurricanes (NCAAF)Spread (Florida A&M Rattlers)57.5 → 59.57
Charlotte 49ers @ Ole Miss Rebels (NCAAF)Spread (Ole Miss Rebels)-47.5 → -45.59

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Galorys @ Back to Back: Polymarket led

Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Back to Back, at 3:31am et. Next were Coolbet, Bovada, Pinnacle. The last of the 8 qualifying books to cross was Betsson at 7:59am et, 4.5 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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