Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of September 5, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Delphine Benouaich, moving from -142 to -588 in Delphine Benouaich @ Sofia Montenegro (MMA): a 26.4 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 6 of 8 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 5, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 6, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Delphine Benouaich @ Sofia Montenegro (MMA)Delphine Benouaich-142 → -588+26.4 pts6 of 8
Daniil Donchenko @ Punahele Soriano (MMA)Daniil Donchenko-250 → -1055+19.8 pts9 of 16
Matthieu Duclos @ Luis Felipe Dias (MMA)Luis Felipe Dias-105 → -188+13.6 pts5 of 8
Morgan Charriere @ Felipe Lima (MMA)Felipe Lima-207 → -423+13.4 pts9 of 14
Thomas Carty @ David Allen (Boxing)Thomas Carty+190 → +130+9.8 pts5 of 5
megoshort @ Strael-Bora (Esports Esports)megoshort-222 → -303+7.4 pts5 of 5
West Bromwich Albion @ Derby County (EFL Championship)West Bromwich Albion+175 → +145+6.7 pts22 of 31
Nathaniel Wood @ Pavel Andrusca (MMA)Pavel Andrusca+235 → +180+6.0 pts3 of 6

Implied probability points, median across up to 31 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres (MLB)Spread (New York Yankees)-1.5 → 1.522
Idaho State Bengals @ Utah State Aggies (NCAAF)Total62 → 5910
Duquesne Dukes @ Air Force Falcons (NCAAF)Spread (Duquesne Dukes)28.5 → 31.59
Charleston Southern Buccaneers @ Georgia Southern Eagles (NCAAF)Spread (Charleston Southern Buccaneers)25.5 → 28.59
Charleston Southern Buccaneers @ Georgia Southern Eagles (NCAAF)Spread (Georgia Southern Eagles)-25.5 → -28.59
South Dakota State Jackrabbits @ Northwestern Wildcats (NCAAF)Total46.5 → 49.510
Duquesne Dukes @ Air Force Falcons (NCAAF)Spread (Air Force Falcons)-28.5 → -31.59
New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres (MLB)Spread (San Diego Padres)1.5 → -1.522

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Delphine Benouaich @ Sofia Montenegro: BetMGM led

BetMGM was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Delphine Benouaich, at 12:08pm et. Next were BetRivers, Betsson, Bovada. The last of the 6 qualifying books to cross was NordicBet at 12:08pm et, 0.0 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

Get a free key All reports