Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Kansas City Royals, moving from -104 to -122 in Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals (MLB): a 4.1 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 25 of 30 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 3, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 4, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Kansas City Royals | -104 → -122 | +4.1 pts | 25 of 30 |
| AS Monaco @ Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) | Paris Saint Germain | -238 → -286 | +3.7 pts | 29 of 31 |
| Joseph Morales @ Brandon Moreno (MMA) | Joseph Morales | -115 → -130 | +3.0 pts | 5 of 7 |
| Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles (MLB) | Baltimore Orioles | +112 → +100 | +2.9 pts | 23 of 30 |
| Celta Vigo @ Real Sociedad (La Liga) | Real Sociedad | -116 → -128 | +2.9 pts | 19 of 27 |
| Hawthorn Hawks @ Fremantle Dockers (AFL) | Fremantle Dockers | -200 → -227 | +2.8 pts | 3 of 5 |
| Liverpool @ Ipswich Town (EPL) | Liverpool | -200 → -221 | +2.6 pts | 36 of 48 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 48 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Spread (Kansas City Royals) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 24 |
| Akron Zips @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (NCAAF) | Spread (Akron Zips) | 25 → 28 | 11 |
| Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Spread (Miami Marlins) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 24 |
| Akron Zips @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (NCAAF) | Spread (Wake Forest Demon Deacons) | -25 → -28 | 11 |
| UAB Blazers @ Illinois Fighting Illini (NCAAF) | Spread (Illinois Fighting Illini) | -27.5 → -24.5 | 11 |
| UAB Blazers @ Illinois Fighting Illini (NCAAF) | Spread (UAB Blazers) | 27.5 → 24.5 | 11 |
| Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) | Spread (Philadelphia Phillies) | 1.5 → -1.25 | 18 |
| Idaho Vandals @ Utah Utes (NCAAF) | Total | 57.5 → 60.25 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
LowVig was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Kansas City Royals, at 9:21am et. Next were BetOnline, DraftKings, GTbets. The last of the 25 qualifying books to cross was Betanysports at 4:17pm et, 6.9 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.