Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Penrith Panthers, moving from -161 to -1000 in Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers (NRL): a 29.2 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 11 of 11 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 31, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 1, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers (NRL) | Penrith Panthers | -161 → -1000 | +29.2 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Sydney Roosters @ South Sydney Rabbitohs (NRL) | South Sydney Rabbitohs | -182 → -1111 | +27.2 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Melbourne Storm @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (NRL) | Melbourne Storm | -122 → -278 | +18.4 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Dolphins @ Gold Coast Titans (NRL) | Dolphins | -172 → -400 | +17.4 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ New Zealand Warriors (NRL) | New Zealand Warriors | -161 → -295 | +12.9 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Barcelona @ Levante (La Liga) | Barcelona | -282 → -357 | +4.9 pts | 12 of 12 |
| Derby County @ Portsmouth (EFL Championship) | Portsmouth | +120 → +100 | +4.5 pts | 42 of 44 |
| Real Madrid @ Real Betis (La Liga) | Real Madrid | -218 → -268 | +4.2 pts | 15 of 20 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 44 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Spread (Seattle Mariners) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 13 |
| Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Spread (Boston Red Sox) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 13 |
| LIU Sharks @ Kansas Jayhawks (NCAAF) | Spread (Kansas Jayhawks) | -39.5 → -41 | 6 |
| LIU Sharks @ Kansas Jayhawks (NCAAF) | Spread (LIU Sharks) | 39.5 → 41 | 6 |
| Baylor Bears @ Auburn Tigers (NCAAF) | Total | 59 → 58 | 9 |
| VMI Keydets @ Virginia Tech Hokies (NCAAF) | Spread (VMI Keydets) | 55.5 → 56.5 | 5 |
| Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Total | 8.5 → 7.5 | 14 |
| UAB Blazers @ Illinois Fighting Illini (NCAAF) | Total | 56 → 55 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
TAB was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Penrith Panthers, at 1:10am et. Next were Betright, Ladbrokes AU, Neds. The last of the 11 qualifying books to cross was TABtouch at 2:31am et, 1.4 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.