Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of August 30, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, moving from +249 to +130 in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ New Zealand Warriors (NRL): a 14.3 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 10 of 10 tracked books. Melbourne Storm flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Melbourne Storm @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 30, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 31, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ New Zealand Warriors (NRL)Manly Warringah Sea Eagles+249 → +130+14.3 pts10 of 10
Dolphins @ Gold Coast Titans (NRL)Gold Coast Titans+260 → +163+11.4 pts10 of 10
Wests Tigers @ Penrith Panthers (NRL)Wests Tigers+230 → +135+11.4 pts10 of 11
Melbourne Storm @ Cronulla Sutherland Sharks (NRL)Melbourne Storm+128 → -107+10.4 pts10 of 10
Monza @ Lecce (Serie A)Monza+360 → +240+8.6 pts12 of 13
Atlético San Luis @ Monterrey (Liga MX)Atlético San Luis+470 → +280+8.2 pts7 of 7
Levante @ Málaga (La Liga)Levante+228 → +179+6.7 pts23 of 24
Lyon @ Paris FC (Ligue 1)Paris FC+215 → +175+6.1 pts16 of 17

Implied probability points, median across up to 24 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals (MLB)Spread (Miami Marlins)-1.5 → 1.522
Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals (MLB)Spread (Washington Nationals)1.5 → -1.522
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB)Spread (Chicago White Sox)1 → -1.511
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB)Spread (Minnesota Twins)-1 → 1.511
Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire (WNBA)Total157.5 → 159.511
Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings (WNBA)Spread (Dallas Wings)-13.5 → -15.511
Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings (WNBA)Spread (Connecticut Sun)13.5 → 15.511
Los Angeles Sparks @ Seattle Storm (WNBA)Total173 → 174.511

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ New Zealand Warriors: Betr led

Betr was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, at 11:44pm et. Next were Betright, TAB, Sportsbet. The last of the 10 qualifying books to cross was Neds at 2:02am et, 2.3 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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