Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Puebla, moving from +575 to +359 in Puebla @ América (Liga MX): a 7.3 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 7 of 7 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 29, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 30, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puebla @ América (Liga MX) | Puebla | +575 → +359 | +7.3 pts | 7 of 7 |
| Middlesbrough @ Burnley (EFL Championship) | Middlesbrough | +218 → +162 | +6.6 pts | 21 of 22 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander @ Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) | Real Racing Club de Santander | +320 → +230 | +6.1 pts | 8 of 11 |
| Real Sociedad @ Elche CF (La Liga) | Elche CF | +200 → +155 | +5.9 pts | 10 of 12 |
| Derby County @ Portsmouth (EFL Championship) | Portsmouth | +160 → +123 | +5.7 pts | 22 of 25 |
| Monza @ Parma (Serie A) | Monza | +300 → +225 | +5.3 pts | 19 of 19 |
| Blackburn Rovers @ Lincoln City (EFL Championship) | Lincoln City | +150 → +120 | +5.1 pts | 20 of 22 |
| Queens Park Rangers @ Blackburn Rovers (EFL Championship) | Queens Park Rangers | +177 → +145 | +5.1 pts | 40 of 40 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 40 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Tempo @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) | Total | 176 → 171.5 | 11 |
| Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Spread (Seattle Mariners) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 19 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB) | Spread (Minnesota Twins) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 19 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB) | Spread (Chicago White Sox) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 19 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB) | Spread (Chicago White Sox) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 7 |
| Seattle Mariners @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Spread (Toronto Blue Jays) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 19 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB) | Spread (Minnesota Twins) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 7 |
| NC State Wolfpack @ Virginia Cavaliers (NCAAF) | Total | 51.5 → 49 | 6 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
BetOnline was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Puebla, at 8:37pm et. Next were BetUS, LowVig, DraftKings. The last of the 7 qualifying books to cross was FanDuel at 8:47pm et, 0.2 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.