Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Newcastle Knights, moving from +270 to +162 in Newcastle Knights @ New Zealand Warriors (NRL): a 10.9 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 12 of 12 tracked books. Athletics flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Baltimore Orioles @ Athletics.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 28, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 29, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Knights @ New Zealand Warriors (NRL) | Newcastle Knights | +270 → +162 | +10.9 pts | 12 of 12 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Athletics (MLB) | Athletics | +120 → -104 | +5.3 pts | 29 of 30 |
| Jordan White @ Luis Torres Valenzuela (Boxing) | Jordan White | +235 → +182 | +4.5 pts | 4 of 6 |
| Texas Rangers @ Milwaukee Brewers (MLB) | Milwaukee Brewers | -179 → -222 | +4.5 pts | 28 of 30 |
| NEC Nijmegen @ FC Zwolle (Eredivisie) | FC Zwolle | +325 → +265 | +4.4 pts | 23 of 28 |
| Carlton Blues @ Melbourne Demons (AFL) | Melbourne Demons | +105 → -111 | +4.2 pts | 11 of 12 |
| West Ham United @ Watford (EFL Championship) | West Ham United | -118 → -137 | +3.9 pts | 42 of 43 |
| Houston Astros @ New York Mets (MLB) | New York Mets | +108 → -108 | +3.7 pts | 29 of 30 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 43 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB) | Spread (Chicago White Sox) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 15 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins (MLB) | Spread (Minnesota Twins) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 15 |
| Toronto Tempo @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Spread (Toronto Tempo) | 14 → 16 | 11 |
| Toronto Tempo @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Spread (Las Vegas Aces) | -14 → -16 | 11 |
| Toronto Tempo @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) | Total | 178 → 176.5 | 9 |
| Portland Fire @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA) | Total | 180 → 178.5 | 11 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints (NFL) | Total | 42.5 → 41.5 | 5 |
| Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Total | 179.25 → 180 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
PointsBet AU was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Newcastle Knights, at 10:23pm et. Next were Betright, TAB, Ladbrokes AU. The last of the 12 qualifying books to cross was Unibet at 11:50pm et, 1.5 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.