Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Real Madrid, moving from -391 to -538 in Real Sociedad @ Real Madrid (La Liga): a 4.6 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 26 of 26 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 26, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 27, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad @ Real Madrid (La Liga) | Real Madrid | -391 → -538 | +4.6 pts | 26 of 26 |
| Athletic Bilbao @ Barcelona (La Liga) | Barcelona | -335 → -435 | +4.0 pts | 22 of 25 |
| Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins (MLB) | Miami Marlins | +130 → +113 | +3.3 pts | 23 of 28 |
| Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) | Washington Mystics | -145 → -175 | +3.3 pts | 10 of 11 |
| Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Toronto Blue Jays | -138 → -161 | +3.2 pts | 26 of 29 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | New York Liberty | -140 → -155 | +3.1 pts | 9 of 11 |
| Ipswich Town @ Manchester United (EPL) | Manchester United | -233 → -270 | +2.6 pts | 6 of 10 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 29 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants (MLB) | Spread (Cincinnati Reds) | -1 → 1 | 23 |
| Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants (MLB) | Spread (San Francisco Giants) | 1 → -1 | 23 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Spread (Golden State Valkyries) | 1.5 → 2.75 | 10 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Spread (New York Liberty) | -1.5 → -2.75 | 10 |
| Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) | Spread (Phoenix Mercury) | 2.5 → 3.75 | 8 |
| Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) | Spread (Washington Mystics) | -2.5 → -3.75 | 8 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ Connecticut Sun (WNBA) | Spread (Golden State Valkyries) | -13.5 → -14.5 | 11 |
| NC State Wolfpack @ Virginia Cavaliers (NCAAF) | Spread (NC State Wolfpack) | 5 → 4 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
BetMGM was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Real Madrid, at 9:20am et. Next were Codere It, Betsson, NordicBet. The last of the 26 qualifying books to cross was 1xBet at 2:20pm et, 5.0 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.