Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Kauê Fernandes, moving from +119 to -104 in Kauê Fernandes @ Jalin Turner (MMA): a 4.8 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 10 of 11 tracked books. Kauê Fernandes flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Kauê Fernandes @ Jalin Turner.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 14, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 15, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes @ Jalin Turner (MMA) | Kauê Fernandes | +119 → -104 | +4.8 pts | 10 of 11 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Arizona Diamondbacks | +139 → +118 | +4.4 pts | 11 of 15 |
| Inter Miami CF @ Nashville SC (MLS) | Inter Miami CF | +183 → +150 | +4.3 pts | 9 of 9 |
| Kennedy Nzechukwu @ Shamil Gaziev (MMA) | Shamil Gaziev | -122 → -142 | +3.7 pts | 3 of 5 |
| St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers (AFL) | St Kilda Saints | -303 → -370 | +3.5 pts | 10 of 10 |
| Boston Red Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) | Pittsburgh Pirates | +114 → +100 | +3.1 pts | 26 of 28 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers (MLB) | Chicago White Sox | +131 → +118 | +3.0 pts | 13 of 20 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 28 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty @ Connecticut Sun (WNBA) | Total | 176.5 → 173 | 9 |
| Washington Nationals @ New York Mets (MLB) | Spread (New York Mets) | 1 → -1 | 15 |
| Los Angeles Sparks @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Total | 174.5 → 172.5 | 8 |
| Portland Fire @ Seattle Storm (WNBA) | Total | 179.5 → 181.5 | 11 |
| Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (MLB) | Spread (Miami Marlins) | -1 → 1 | 15 |
| Miami Marlins @ Cincinnati Reds (MLB) | Spread (Cincinnati Reds) | 1 → -1 | 15 |
| Dallas Wings @ Indiana Fever (WNBA) | Total | 187.25 → 185.5 | 10 |
| Minnesota Lynx @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Total | 182 → 182.5 | 6 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
BetOnline was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Kauê Fernandes, at 11:30am et. Next were Winamax, Pmu Fr, Bovada. The last of the 10 qualifying books to cross was 1xBet at 6:41pm et, 7.2 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.