Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of August 11, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Carlton Blues, moving from -182 to -250 in Carlton Blues @ Western Bulldogs (AFL): a 7.1 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 11 of 11 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 11, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 12, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Carlton Blues @ Western Bulldogs (AFL)Carlton Blues-182 → -250+7.1 pts11 of 11
Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Washington Mystics+280 → +220+4.9 pts10 of 11
Adelaide Crows @ Fremantle Dockers (AFL)Adelaide Crows+255 → +205+4.5 pts7 of 8
Sydney Roosters @ Penrith Panthers (NRL)Penrith Panthers-125 → -149+4.3 pts7 of 9
Tampa Bay Rays @ Athletics (MLB)Tampa Bay Rays-164 → -190+3.7 pts27 of 27
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers (MLB)Detroit Tigers-130 → -144+3.0 pts27 of 28
New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever (WNBA)New York Liberty+140 → +125+2.7 pts7 of 11
Melbourne Demons @ Port Adelaide Power (AFL)Melbourne Demons-385 → -455+2.6 pts4 of 5

Implied probability points, median across up to 28 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Chicago Sky @ Golden State Valkyries (WNBA)Total164.5 → 167.58
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees (MLB)Spread (Seattle Mariners)-1.5 → 1.511
Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Spread (Las Vegas Aces)-8.5 → -5.511
Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Spread (Washington Mystics)8.5 → 5.511
Seattle Mariners @ New York Yankees (MLB)Spread (New York Yankees)1.5 → -1.512
Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Total169 → 171.511
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB)Total8.5 → 6.518
Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins (MLB)Spread (Minnesota Twins)1 → -115

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Carlton Blues @ Western Bulldogs: Betr led

Betr was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Carlton Blues, at 6:51pm et. Next were DraftKings, PointsBet AU, Sportsbet. The last of the 11 qualifying books to cross was Neds at 12:09am et, 5.3 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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