Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Melbourne Storm, moving from +130 to +110 in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Melbourne Storm (NRL): a 4.1 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 9 of 9 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 3, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 4, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Melbourne Storm (NRL) | Melbourne Storm | +130 → +110 | +4.1 pts | 9 of 9 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees (MLB) | New York Yankees | -204 → -250 | +3.9 pts | 28 of 28 |
| San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers (MLB) | Texas Rangers | -113 → -130 | +3.7 pts | 25 of 28 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Phoenix Mercury | -115 → -130 | +3.0 pts | 10 of 11 |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Houston Astros (MLB) | Houston Astros | -135 → -152 | +2.6 pts | 23 of 26 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 28 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers (MLB) | Spread (Texas Rangers) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 21 |
| San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers (MLB) | Spread (San Francisco Giants) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 21 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Spread (Boston Red Sox) | 0 → -1.5 | 14 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Spread (Chicago White Sox) | 0 → 1.5 | 14 |
| Seattle Storm @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Spread (Seattle Storm) | 8.5 → 7.5 | 10 |
| Seattle Storm @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Spread (New York Liberty) | -8.5 → -7.5 | 10 |
| Las Vegas Aces @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA) | Spread (Atlanta Dream) | -1.5 → -2.5 | 11 |
| Las Vegas Aces @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA) | Spread (Las Vegas Aces) | 1.5 → 2.5 | 11 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Sportsbet was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Melbourne Storm, at 2:15am et. Next were Dabble Au, Betright, TAB. The last of the 9 qualifying books to cross was PlayUp at 2:51am et, 0.6 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.