Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of July 25, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Real Salt Lake, moving from +162 to +117 in Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers (MLS): a 7.7 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 11 of 11 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 25, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 26, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers (MLS)Real Salt Lake+162 → +117+7.7 pts11 of 11
Seattle Sounders FC @ Philadelphia Union (MLS)Philadelphia Union-105 → -139+6.9 pts11 of 11
Nashville SC @ Orlando City SC (MLS)Orlando City SC+190 → +155+4.7 pts10 of 11
FC Cincinnati @ Columbus Crew SC (MLS)FC Cincinnati+250 → +210+3.8 pts10 of 11
Toronto FC @ D.C. United (MLS)D.C. United+116 → +100+3.7 pts8 of 11
Saygid Izagakhmaev @ Abubakar Vagaev (MMA)Saygid Izagakhmaev+195 → +164+3.7 pts9 of 9
Cronulla Sutherland Sharks @ Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (NRL)Cronulla Sutherland Sharks-160 → -189+3.6 pts13 of 13
Atlas @ Santos Laguna (Liga MX)Atlas+170 → +150+3.4 pts6 of 6

Implied probability points, median across up to 13 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (MLB)Spread (Seattle Mariners)-1.5 → 1.518
Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers (MLB)Spread (Texas Rangers)1.5 → -1.518
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals (MLB)Spread (St. Louis Cardinals)-1.5 → 120
Toronto Blue Jays @ Boston Red Sox (MLB)Spread (Toronto Blue Jays)1 → -1.521
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals (MLB)Spread (Cincinnati Reds)1.5 → -120
Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants (MLB)Spread (Los Angeles Angels)-1.5 → 012
Los Angeles Angels @ San Francisco Giants (MLB)Spread (San Francisco Giants)1.5 → 012
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets (MLB)Total8 → 721

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Real Salt Lake @ Portland Timbers: BetMGM led

BetMGM was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Real Salt Lake, at 9:57pm et. Next were Fanatics, BetRivers, BetUS. The last of the 11 qualifying books to cross was MyBookie at 10:34pm et, 0.6 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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