Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Melbourne Storm, moving from +134 to -113 in Melbourne Storm @ South Sydney Rabbitohs (NRL): a 10.0 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 12 of 12 tracked books. Melbourne Storm flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Melbourne Storm @ South Sydney Rabbitohs.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 20, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 21, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Storm @ South Sydney Rabbitohs (NRL) | Melbourne Storm | +134 → -113 | +10.0 pts | 12 of 12 |
| New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings (WNBA) | New York Liberty | -170 → -202 | +4.2 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Brisbane Broncos @ North Queensland Cowboys (NRL) | Brisbane Broncos | -139 → -143 | +3.5 pts | 4 of 7 |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Toronto Blue Jays | -154 → -179 | +3.4 pts | 26 of 28 |
| Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Chicago Sky | +475 → +375 | +3.3 pts | 4 of 5 |
| Mike Davis @ Nurullo Aliev (MMA) | Nurullo Aliev | -180 → -198 | +3.0 pts | 7 of 9 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Boston Red Sox | -145 → -164 | +3.0 pts | 25 of 28 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels (MLB) | St. Louis Cardinals | -1 → -112 | +2.8 pts | 19 of 28 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 28 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Spread (San Francisco Giants) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 17 |
| San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Spread (Kansas City Royals) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 17 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels (MLB) | Spread (Los Angeles Angels) | -1.5 → 1 | 20 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Angels (MLB) | Spread (St. Louis Cardinals) | 1.5 → -1 | 20 |
| Minnesota Lynx @ Seattle Storm (WNBA) | Total | 174 → 176.5 | 8 |
| Las Vegas Aces @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Total | 160 → 162.5 | 9 |
| Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Total | 180.5 → 179 | 7 |
| Chicago Sky @ New York Liberty (WNBA) | Spread (Chicago Sky) | 11.5 → 10 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
TAB was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Melbourne Storm, at 9:33pm et. Next were Sportsbet, Betright, Dabble Au. The last of the 12 qualifying books to cross was Unibet at 2:17am et, 4.7 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.