Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Guadalajara, moving from +120 to -103 in Toluca @ Guadalajara (Liga MX): a 5.8 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 6 of 7 tracked books. Guadalajara flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Toluca @ Guadalajara.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 18, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 19, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca @ Guadalajara (Liga MX) | Guadalajara | +120 → -103 | +5.8 pts | 6 of 7 |
| Jose Delgado @ Austin Bashi (MMA) | Austin Bashi | -118 → -144 | +5.1 pts | 11 of 13 |
| England @ France (World Cup) | France | -118 → -141 | +4.7 pts | 47 of 47 |
| Alberto Montes @ Tommy McMillen (MMA) | Tommy McMillen | -170 → -209 | +4.3 pts | 15 of 16 |
| Washington Nationals @ Athletics (MLB) | Washington Nationals | +105 → -111 | +4.3 pts | 30 of 30 |
| San Francisco Giants @ Seattle Mariners (MLB) | Seattle Mariners | -139 → -160 | +3.8 pts | 28 of 30 |
| Santos Laguna @ Monterrey (Liga MX) | Monterrey | -190 → -220 | +3.7 pts | 6 of 7 |
| Christian Leroy Duncan @ Jared Cannonier (MMA) | Jared Cannonier | +305 → +260 | +3.1 pts | 10 of 14 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 47 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Liberty @ Indiana Fever (WNBA) | Total | 178 → 184.5 | 11 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros (MLB) | Spread (Houston Astros) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 13 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Houston Astros (MLB) | Spread (Baltimore Orioles) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 13 |
| Washington Nationals @ Athletics (MLB) | Spread (Washington Nationals) | 1.5 → -1 | 23 |
| Washington Nationals @ Athletics (MLB) | Spread (Athletics) | -1.5 → 1 | 23 |
| Connecticut Sun @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA) | Total | 163.5 → 166 | 8 |
| Texas Rangers @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Spread (Atlanta Braves) | 1 → -1 | 13 |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox (MLB) | Spread (Tampa Bay Rays) | 1 → -1 | 22 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
BetOnline was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Guadalajara, at 8:10pm et. Next were DraftKings, Fanatics, LowVig. The last of the 6 qualifying books to cross was FanDuel at 8:15pm et, 0.1 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.