Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of July 16, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Toronto FC, moving from +350 to +270 in Toronto FC @ New England Revolution (MLS): a 4.8 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 6 of 7 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 16, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 17, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Toronto FC @ New England Revolution (MLS)Toronto FC+350 → +270+4.8 pts6 of 7
Megan Anderson @ Ezra Elliott (MMA)Ezra Elliott+130 → +114+3.3 pts8 of 11
Bruno Rios @ Saul Sanchez (Boxing)Bruno Rios+132 → +125+3.0 pts4 of 5
Vancouver Whitecaps FC @ Chicago Fire (MLS)Chicago Fire+170 → +153+2.6 pts7 of 10
Toronto FC @ CF Montreal (MLS)Toronto FC+226 → +200+2.6 pts8 of 11

Implied probability points, median across up to 11 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Seattle Storm @ Indiana Fever (WNBA)Total173.5 → 175.510
Los Angeles Sparks @ Chicago Sky (WNBA)Total183.5 → 185.511
New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings (WNBA)Spread (New York Liberty)1 → 210
New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings (WNBA)Spread (Dallas Wings)-1 → -210
Washington Nationals @ Athletics (MLB)Spread (Athletics)1.5 → 122
Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics (WNBA)Total163 → 162.510
Washington Nationals @ Athletics (MLB)Spread (Washington Nationals)-1.5 → -122
Connecticut Sun @ Phoenix Mercury (WNBA)Spread (Connecticut Sun)5.5 → 511

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Toronto FC @ New England Revolution: Fanatics led

Fanatics was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Toronto FC, at 7:47pm et. Next were FanDuel, BetOnline, LowVig. The last of the 6 qualifying books to cross was BetMGM at 8:56pm et, 1.2 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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