Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to France, moving from +120 to -104 in England @ France (World Cup): a 5.5 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 31 of 42 tracked books. France flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in England @ France.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 15, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 16, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England @ France (World Cup) | France | +120 → -104 | +5.5 pts | 31 of 42 |
| Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Washington Mystics | -205 → -245 | +3.2 pts | 5 of 7 |
| Brisbane Broncos @ Penrith Panthers (NRL) | Brisbane Broncos | +378 → +310 | +3.0 pts | 4 of 6 |
| St Kilda Saints @ Geelong Cats (AFL) | Geelong Cats | -189 → -213 | +3.0 pts | 10 of 13 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 42 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Total | 165 → 162.5 | 10 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ Indiana Fever (WNBA) | Total | 168.5 → 166.5 | 11 |
| New York Liberty @ Dallas Wings (WNBA) | Total | 175.5 → 177 | 8 |
| Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) | Spread (Los Angeles Sparks) | 12.5 → 11 | 10 |
| Los Angeles Sparks @ Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) | Spread (Minnesota Lynx) | -12.5 → -11 | 10 |
| Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Spread (Portland Fire) | 5.25 → 6.5 | 10 |
| Portland Fire @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Spread (Washington Mystics) | -5.25 → -6.5 | 10 |
| Seattle Storm @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Total | 171.25 → 170 | 10 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Betclic Fr was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on France, at 5:21pm et. Next were Tipico De, Unibet Fr, Betway. The last of the 31 qualifying books to cross was Ladbrokes at 7:43pm et, 2.4 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.