Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of July 12, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Fremantle Dockers, moving from -556 to -1340 in Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power (AFL): a 7.8 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 10 of 10 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 12, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 13, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power (AFL)Fremantle Dockers-556 → -1340+7.8 pts10 of 10
Athletics @ Chicago White Sox (MLB)Chicago White Sox-115 → -152+6.9 pts30 of 30
Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics (WNBA)Washington Mystics-186 → -230+4.2 pts9 of 11
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers (MLB)Detroit Tigers-115 → -135+4.0 pts27 of 30
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals (MLB)Washington Nationals-106 → -121+3.3 pts26 of 29
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays (MLB)Tampa Bay Rays-137 → -152+2.6 pts22 of 30
Mitch Ramirez @ Chase Hooper (MMA)Chase Hooper-315 → -368+2.6 pts8 of 8

Implied probability points, median across up to 30 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics (WNBA)Total159 → 162.511
Los Angeles Sparks @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA)Total177.5 → 180.59
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals (MLB)Spread (New York Yankees)-1.5 → 123
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals (MLB)Spread (Washington Nationals)1.5 → -123
Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics (WNBA)Spread (Seattle Storm)4.5 → 611
Chicago Sky @ Dallas Wings (WNBA)Total178.5 → 17711
Los Angeles Sparks @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA)Spread (Atlanta Dream)-7.5 → -8.511
Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx (WNBA)Spread (Phoenix Mercury)11.5 → 12.59

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Fremantle Dockers @ Port Adelaide Power: TABtouch led

TABtouch was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Fremantle Dockers, at 7:46pm et. Next were Unibet, TAB, PointsBet AU. The last of the 10 qualifying books to cross was Betr at 1:48am et, 6.0 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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