Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Pittsburgh Pirates, moving from +109 to -126 in Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB): a 7.5 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 20 of 24 tracked books. Pittsburgh Pirates flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 11, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 12, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) | Pittsburgh Pirates | +109 → -126 | +7.5 pts | 20 of 24 |
| Hawthorn Hawks @ Carlton Blues (AFL) | Hawthorn Hawks | -149 → -189 | +5.6 pts | 7 of 7 |
| Jose Delgado @ Austin Bashi (MMA) | Jose Delgado | -110 → -135 | +5.1 pts | 3 of 5 |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox (MLB) | Chicago White Sox | -108 → -125 | +3.7 pts | 24 of 29 |
| England @ Norway (World Cup) | England | -106 → -125 | +3.7 pts | 45 of 46 |
| Kai Kamaka @ Luke Riley (MMA) | Luke Riley | -230 → -265 | +3.4 pts | 7 of 7 |
| Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds (MLB) | Cincinnati Reds | -103 → -116 | +3.3 pts | 25 of 30 |
| Seattle Storm @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Washington Mystics | -162 → -181 | +3.0 pts | 5 of 7 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 46 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Total | 171.5 → 168.5 | 11 |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox (MLB) | Spread (Athletics) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 23 |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) | Spread (Milwaukee Brewers) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 16 |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox (MLB) | Spread (Chicago White Sox) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 23 |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox (MLB) | Spread (Chicago White Sox) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 12 |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) | Spread (Pittsburgh Pirates) | 1.5 → -1.5 | 16 |
| Athletics @ Chicago White Sox (MLB) | Spread (Athletics) | -1.5 → 1.5 | 12 |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates (MLB) | Spread (Pittsburgh Pirates) | -1.5 → 1 | 21 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
FanDuel was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Pittsburgh Pirates, at 7:49pm et. Next were Bovada, Betclic Fr, Winamax De. The last of the 20 qualifying books to cross was BetMGM at 9:31pm et, 1.7 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.