Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Houston Astros, moving from +107 to -118 in Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros (MLB): a 5.8 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 29 of 30 tracked books. Houston Astros flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 5, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 6, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros (MLB) | Houston Astros | +107 → -118 | +5.8 pts | 29 of 30 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Golden State Valkyries | -178 → -215 | +4.5 pts | 10 of 10 |
| Dallas Wings @ Toronto Tempo (WNBA) | Dallas Wings | -196 → -235 | +4.5 pts | 10 of 10 |
| Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) | Los Angeles Dodgers | -183 → -215 | +3.9 pts | 25 of 26 |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners (MLB) | Toronto Blue Jays | +110 → -109 | +3.8 pts | 28 of 29 |
| New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | New York Mets | +100 → -115 | +3.1 pts | 24 of 28 |
| Port Adelaide Power @ St Kilda Saints (AFL) | St Kilda Saints | -158 → -177 | +2.9 pts | 6 of 8 |
| Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals (MLB) | Philadelphia Phillies | -167 → -193 | +2.9 pts | 19 of 26 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 30 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Spread (New York Mets) | 1.5 → -1 | 22 |
| Dallas Wings @ Toronto Tempo (WNBA) | Total | 183 → 185.5 | 11 |
| New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Spread (Atlanta Braves) | -1.5 → 1 | 22 |
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros (MLB) | Spread (Tampa Bay Rays) | -1.5 → 1 | 23 |
| Dallas Wings @ Toronto Tempo (WNBA) | Spread (Dallas Wings) | -4.5 → -6.5 | 11 |
| Dallas Wings @ Toronto Tempo (WNBA) | Spread (Toronto Tempo) | 4.5 → 6.5 | 11 |
| Connecticut Sun @ Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) | Total | 167.5 → 165.5 | 7 |
| Golden State Valkyries @ Washington Mystics (WNBA) | Spread (Golden State Valkyries) | -4 → -5.5 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
BetRivers was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Houston Astros, at 9:46am et. Next were Unibet Se, Unibet Nl, Leovegas Se. The last of the 29 qualifying books to cross was William Hill at 11:08am et, 1.4 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.