Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of July 4, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Indiana Fever, moving from +189 to +131 in Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA): a 7.7 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 7 of 10 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 4, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 5, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Indiana Fever+189 → +131+7.7 pts7 of 10
Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA)Golden State Valkyries+145 → +118+5.1 pts6 of 11
Nikita Krylov @ Robert Whittaker (MMA)Nikita Krylov+155 → +133+4.3 pts4 of 5
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Parramatta Eels (NRL)Manly Warringah Sea Eagles-282 → -333+4.0 pts10 of 12
New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB)Atlanta Braves-170 → -196+3.5 pts25 of 28
Miami Marlins @ Athletics (MLB)Miami Marlins-124 → -139+2.6 pts21 of 29

Implied probability points, median across up to 29 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Spread (Indiana Fever)6.5 → 3.511
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Spread (Las Vegas Aces)-6.5 → -3.511
Portland Fire @ Seattle Storm (WNBA)Total170 → 17311
Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA)Total183.5 → 181.511
Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA)Spread (Atlanta Dream)-3.5 → -210
Golden State Valkyries @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA)Spread (Golden State Valkyries)3.5 → 210
Dallas Wings @ Toronto Tempo (WNBA)Total181.5 → 18311
San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies (MLB)Total11.5 → 12.522

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces: BetRivers led

BetRivers was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Indiana Fever, at 8:03pm et. Next were Fanatics, FanDuel, DraftKings. The last of the 7 qualifying books to cross was MyBookie at 8:11pm et, 0.1 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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