Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Chicago Sky, moving from +310 to +158 in Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA): a 14.6 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 11 of 11 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 3, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 4, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Chicago Sky | +310 → +158 | +14.6 pts | 11 of 11 |
| Portland Fire @ Seattle Storm (WNBA) | Seattle Storm | -130 → -165 | +6.4 pts | 6 of 7 |
| Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees (MLB) | New York Yankees | -187 → -228 | +4.7 pts | 29 of 30 |
| Melbourne Demons @ Hawthorn Hawks (AFL) | Hawthorn Hawks | -193 → -238 | +4.3 pts | 9 of 12 |
| Milwaukee Brewers @ Arizona Diamondbacks (MLB) | Arizona Diamondbacks | +137 → +115 | +4.1 pts | 30 of 30 |
| Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (AFL) | Fremantle Dockers | -343 → -400 | +3.4 pts | 8 of 12 |
| Miami Marlins @ Athletics (MLB) | Athletics | -125 → -143 | +3.2 pts | 28 of 30 |
| Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Las Vegas Aces | -225 → -260 | +3.0 pts | 3 of 5 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 30 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Spread (Chicago Sky) | 9.5 → 4.5 | 11 |
| Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Spread (Las Vegas Aces) | -9.5 → -4.5 | 11 |
| Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Total | 182.5 → 179.5 | 11 |
| New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Spread (Atlanta Braves) | -1.5 → 1 | 21 |
| Portland Fire @ Seattle Storm (WNBA) | Total | 167 → 169.5 | 9 |
| New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves (MLB) | Spread (New York Mets) | 1.5 → -1 | 22 |
| Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Spread (Indiana Fever) | 5.5 → 7.5 | 5 |
| Indiana Fever @ Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) | Spread (Las Vegas Aces) | -5.5 → -7.5 | 5 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
LowVig was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Chicago Sky, at 10:56am et. Next were BetUS, Bovada, BetOnline. The last of the 11 qualifying books to cross was BetRivers at 4:40pm et, 5.7 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.