Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to the Seattle Storm, who steamed from +178 to +140 against the Phoenix Mercury, a 6.6 point swing in implied probability confirmed by all 11 tracked books, with the spread tightening from +5.5 to +3.5. The most dramatic flip came in the World Cup: Belgium opened a +114 underdog against Senegal and closed a -105 favorite at all 41 tracked books, one of several knockout-round matches that drew heavy money.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured July 1, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published July 2, 2026.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Storm @ Mercury (WNBA) | Storm | +178 → +140 | +6.6 pts | 11 of 11 |
| England @ Mexico (World Cup) | Mexico | +255 → +200 | +5.6 pts | 41 of 41 |
| Senegal @ Belgium (World Cup) | Belgium | +114 → -105 | +4.7 pts | 41 of 41 |
| Twins @ Astros (MLB) | Astros | -132 → -155 | +3.6 pts | 28 of 28 |
| Rays @ Royals (MLB) | Rays | -135 → -154 | +3.4 pts | 24 of 28 |
| Marlins @ Rockies (MLB) | Rockies | +139 → +123 | +2.8 pts | 27 of 29 |
Implied probability points. One of the six moves crossed zero: Belgium closed a favorite after opening an underdog against Senegal.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Giants @ Diamondbacks (MLB) | Run line (Diamondbacks) | +1.0 → -1.5 | 12 |
| Storm @ Mercury (WNBA) | Spread (Storm) | +5.5 → +3.5 | 10 |
| Dodgers @ Athletics (MLB) | Total | 9.5 → 11.0 | 21 |
| Rangers @ Guardians (MLB) | Total | 8.5 → 7.5 | 21 |
| Storm @ Mercury (WNBA) | Total | 169.5 → 167.5 | 9 |
| France @ Paraguay (World Cup) | Total | 3.5 → 2.5 | 12 |
For each headline move, the first books to cross half of their eventual move, as observed at our capture cadence.
Betsson and NordicBet were the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at 3:39am ET, close to eleven hours ahead of the field. The broad market did not cross until a tight window between 3:15pm and 3:26pm ET, when Pinnacle, DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM all repriced Belgium into a favorite within minutes of one another. When two books sit that far in front of a genuine flip, the rest of the market eventually confirms the same direction.
FanDuel repriced the Storm first, crossing at 12:08pm ET, with Fanatics following just after 2:19pm ET. Most of the market waited until evening: DraftKings crossed at 7:48pm ET, the BetOnline, BetUS, and LowVig cluster followed within two minutes, and BetRivers was last at 8:28pm ET. A single book leading a real move by seven-plus hours is the gap line shoppers look for.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.