Daily Line Movement Report

The biggest odds moves of October 7, 2026

The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Shopify Rebellion, moving from -200 to -833 in Shopify Rebellion @ GAM Esports (Esports Esports): a 21.6 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 10 of 10 tracked books.

Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured October 7, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published October 8, 2026. Past editions.

Biggest consensus moneyline moves

Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.

Game Side that drew the money Open → Close (median) Move Books confirming
Shopify Rebellion @ GAM Esports (Esports Esports)Shopify Rebellion-200 → -833+21.6 pts10 of 10
Shopify Rebellion @ FlyQuest (Esports Esports)FlyQuest-233 → -833+18.7 pts9 of 10
Club 333 @ Zomblers (Esports Esports)Zomblers-135 → -250+13.5 pts4 of 5
Metizport @ K27 (Esports Esports)Metizport+170 → +105+12.0 pts7 of 7
Iowa Stormboar @ Wanted Goons (Esports Esports)Iowa Stormboar-303 → -469+8.1 pts3 of 5
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns (NFL)Baltimore Ravens-138 → -181+5.9 pts7 of 8
Legion @ Alter Ego (Esports Esports)Alter Ego-556 → -909+5.7 pts5 of 5
Royal Foxes Esports @ Vitality Academy (Esports Esports)Vitality Academy-345 → -435+5.6 pts5 of 7

Implied probability points, median across up to 10 books per market.

Spreads and totals that moved

Game Market Open → Close (median) Books
Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers (NBA)Spread (Golden State Warriors)10.5 → 14.58
Duke Blue Devils @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (NCAAF)Total47.5 → 43.520
Golden State Warriors @ Portland Trail Blazers (NBA)Spread (Portland Trail Blazers)-10.5 → -14.58
Dallas Stars @ Buffalo Sabres (NHL)Spread (Buffalo Sabres)-1.5 → 1.512
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres (MLB)Spread (Milwaukee Brewers)1.5 → -1.522
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres (MLB)Spread (San Diego Padres)-1.5 → 1.522
Dallas Stars @ Buffalo Sabres (NHL)Spread (Dallas Stars)1.5 → -1.512
UAB Blazers @ Memphis Tigers (NCAAF)Total55.5 → 52.521

Which books repriced first

For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.

Shopify Rebellion @ GAM Esports: Pinnacle led

Pinnacle was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Shopify Rebellion, at 3:56am et. Next were Bovada, Dafabet, Kalshi. The last of the 10 qualifying books to cross was Coolbet at 4:58am et, 1.0 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.

Methodology

Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.

Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.

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