Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Nice Try, moving from -227 to -455 in Nice Try @ FaZe Up Next (Esports Esports): a 15.3 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 4 of 5 tracked books.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 17, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 18, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice Try @ FaZe Up Next (Esports Esports) | Nice Try | -227 → -455 | +15.3 pts | 4 of 5 |
| Lavked @ Black Phoenix (Esports Esports) | Black Phoenix | -164 → -333 | +13.2 pts | 8 of 9 |
| KAMUI @ ENCE (Esports Esports) | ENCE | -303 → -625 | +11.6 pts | 4 of 5 |
| M80 @ B8 (Esports Esports) | B8 | -172 → -216 | +7.6 pts | 6 of 10 |
| Semente do Mal @ Rush (Esports Esports) | Rush | -186 → -250 | +7.5 pts | 4 of 5 |
| NIP @ Metizport (Esports Esports) | NIP | -189 → -239 | +7.1 pts | 8 of 10 |
| Bushido Wildcats @ Azuolas (Esports Esports) | Azuolas | -115 → -147 | +6.7 pts | 3 of 5 |
| Real Betis Seville @ RC Deportivo de A Coruna (La Liga) | Real Betis Seville | +135 → +105 | +6.5 pts | 20 of 21 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 21 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Baylor Bears (NCAAF) | Total | 53.25 → 49.25 | 8 |
| Wyoming Cowboys @ Central Michigan Chippewas (NCAAF) | Spread (Central Michigan Chippewas) | -1.25 → 1.25 | 8 |
| Wyoming Cowboys @ Central Michigan Chippewas (NCAAF) | Spread (Wyoming Cowboys) | 1.25 → -1.25 | 8 |
| Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA) | Spread (Atlanta Dream) | -15.5 → -17.5 | 9 |
| Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream (WNBA) | Spread (Connecticut Sun) | 15.5 → 17.5 | 9 |
| Las Vegas Aces @ Seattle Storm (WNBA) | Total | 173.5 → 175.5 | 8 |
| USC Trojans @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights (NCAAF) | Total | 59.5 → 57.75 | 6 |
| Indiana Fever @ Toronto Tempo (WNBA) | Spread (Indiana Fever) | -12.5 → -14.25 | 12 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Nice Try, at 11:39am et. Next were 1xBet, Betvictor, Superbet. The last of the 4 qualifying books to cross was Superbet at 4:24pm et, 4.8 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.