Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to BBL, moving from +223 to +129 in Liquid @ BBL (Esports Esports): a 12.7 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 7 of 8 tracked books. Nexus flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in Spirit Academy @ Nexus.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured September 16, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published September 17, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid @ BBL (Esports Esports) | BBL | +223 → +129 | +12.7 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Spirit Academy @ Nexus (Esports Esports) | Nexus | +100 → -147 | +8.7 pts | 10 of 11 |
| HOLANDA 78 @ BESTIA Academy (Esports Esports) | BESTIA Academy | -333 → -556 | +7.5 pts | 5 of 7 |
| Liquid @ Inner Circle Esports (Esports Esports) | Inner Circle Esports | +119 → -111 | +6.9 pts | 7 of 8 |
| Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Chicago Sky | +133 → +105 | +6.3 pts | 22 of 25 |
| ex-RUSTEC @ QUAZAR (Esports Esports) | ex-RUSTEC | -133 → -169 | +5.8 pts | 8 of 9 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire (WNBA) | Phoenix Mercury | -114 → -143 | +5.6 pts | 22 of 24 |
| ENCE @ Honvéd (Esports Esports) | Honvéd | +130 → +104 | +5.5 pts | 3 of 5 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 25 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire (WNBA) | Total | 175.5 → 172.5 | 12 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire (WNBA) | Spread (Phoenix Mercury) | -0.5 → -2.5 | 12 |
| Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Spread (Washington Mystics) | -3.5 → -1.5 | 12 |
| Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Total | 167.5 → 165.5 | 12 |
| Washington Mystics @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Spread (Chicago Sky) | 3.5 → 1.5 | 12 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Portland Fire (WNBA) | Spread (Portland Fire) | 0.5 → 2.5 | 12 |
| Miami Ohio RedHawks @ Cincinnati Bearcats (NCAAF) | Spread (Cincinnati Bearcats) | -14.5 → -16 | 9 |
| USC Trojans @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights (NCAAF) | Spread (USC Trojans) | -24 → -22.5 | 7 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
Polymarket was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on BBL, at 3:24am et. Next were Kalshi, Betsson, Bet365. The last of the 7 qualifying books to cross was Betvictor at 6:40pm et, 15.3 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.