Daily Line Movement Report
The largest consensus move of the day belonged to Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, moving from -124 to -172 in Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Melbourne Storm (NRL): a 8.2 point swing in implied probability confirmed by 7 of 8 tracked books. Chicago Cubs flipped from underdog to favorite against the market open in New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs.
Data: pre-game odds snapshots captured August 2, 2026 (12:00am to 11:59pm PT) across 30+ sportsbooks. Published August 3, 2026. Past editions.
Median move across all tracked books, opening price to closing price. A move only makes this table when at least 5 books moved and the median shift is 2.5+ points of implied probability.
| Game | Side that drew the money | Open → Close (median) | Move | Books confirming |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles @ Melbourne Storm (NRL) | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles | -124 → -172 | +8.2 pts | 7 of 8 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Toronto Blue Jays | -115 → -141 | +5.6 pts | 28 of 29 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Cleveland Guardians (MLB) | Cleveland Guardians | -152 → -186 | +4.7 pts | 29 of 29 |
| San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres (MLB) | San Francisco Giants | +125 → +105 | +4.3 pts | 27 of 27 |
| Necaxa @ Toluca (Liga MX) | Toluca | -180 → -210 | +3.5 pts | 6 of 7 |
| New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs (MLB) | Chicago Cubs | +108 → -104 | +3.0 pts | 19 of 28 |
Implied probability points, median across up to 29 books per market.
| Game | Market | Open → Close (median) | Books |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Spread (Toronto Blue Jays) | 1 → -1.5 | 22 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Total | 176.5 → 179 | 10 |
| Indiana Fever @ Minnesota Lynx (WNBA) | Total | 193 → 191 | 11 |
| Connecticut Sun @ Dallas Wings (WNBA) | Total | 172 → 173.5 | 11 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays (MLB) | Spread (St. Louis Cardinals) | 0 → 1.5 | 22 |
| Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies (MLB) | Spread (Colorado Rockies) | -0.25 → -1.5 | 20 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Spread (Chicago Sky) | -1.5 → -0.5 | 8 |
| Phoenix Mercury @ Chicago Sky (WNBA) | Spread (Phoenix Mercury) | 1.5 → 0.5 | 8 |
For the headline move, the first books observed crossing half of their eventual move, at our capture cadence.
TAB was the first book observed crossing half of its eventual move on Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, at 8:57pm et. Next were Ladbrokes AU, Betr, Neds. The last of the 7 qualifying books to cross was Betright at 11:04pm et, 2.1 hours behind the leader. Timing is resolution-limited by capture cadence: "first" means first observed.
Built from TheOddsAPI's own odds snapshot archive: pre-game h2h, spread, and totals prices captured across 30+ sportsbooks on a 30 second to 10 minute refresh cycle depending on sport and market. Opening and closing prices are each book's first and last pre-game capture of the day. Consensus move is the median per-book change in implied probability. Exchange odds, in-play prices, and placeholder quotes are excluded, as are tennis and cricket. Reprice timing is resolution-limited by the capture cadence: "first" means first observed. This report ranks market behavior only; graded edge performance lives in the edge case study archive.
Related reading: how to compare odds across books and why sharp lines lead the market. Want this data programmatically? Every number on this page comes from the same feed the API serves.